Match Info

J1 League - Round 20

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Denka Big Swan Stadium (Niigata)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto


	Albirex Niigata		Yokohama F. Marinos

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.7
	2.57	3.56	2.44	Watch
	2.27	3.79	3.2
	2.29	3.87	2.71	Watch
	2.38	3.4	2.7
	2.24	3.65	3.07	Watch
	2.58	3.55	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.35)	3.62 ↑ (3.5)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Albirex Niigata
40.1%

Draw
26.2%

Yokohama F. Marinos
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

27%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

27.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Albirex Niigata will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Albirex Niigata: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Albirex Niigata (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Yokohama FM (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Albirex Niigata (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Yokohama FM (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Tashiro R. (G) 25. Fujiwara S. 5. Fitzgerald M. 3. Inamura H. 42. Hashimoto K. 11. Danilo Gomes 8. Miyamoto E. 19. Hoshi Y. 30. Okumura J. 41. Hasegawa M. 7. Taniguchi K.	21. Iikura H. (G) 16. Kato R. 27. Matsubara K. 44. Deng T. 25. Suzuki T. 11. Yan 8. Kida T. 28. Yamane R. 9. Tono D. 20. Amano J. 10. Anderson Lopes
Substitutes
22. Arai T. 35. Chiba K. 1. Fujita K. (G) 15. Hayakawa F. 31. Horigome Y. 46. Kasai K. 28. Ota S. 33. Takagi Y. 9. Yamura K.	46. Asada H. 7. Elber 17. Inoue K. 42. Mochizuki K. 19. Park Il-gyu (G) 6. Watanabe K. 39. Watanabe T. 47. Yamamura K.
Coaches
Kimori D.	Kisnorbo P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Tono D. 🟨,
45+3', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
73', 1 - 0, Danilo Gomes ⚽, Inamura H. (A),
74', Tono D. ↓, Elber ↑,
74', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
74', Okumura J. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
76', Suzuki T. ↓, Watanabe T. ↑,
82', Hasegawa M. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
82', Hoshi Y. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
90', Hashimoto K. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
90', Miyamoto E. ↓, Yamura K. ↑,
90+4', Anderson Lopes ↓, Asada H. ↑,
90+4', Amano J. ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Yokohama FM has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:25. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Albirex Niigata - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 40.2%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albirex Niigata
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Albirex Niigata - Fukuyama City	1:0 ET ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Nagoya Grampus - Albirex Niigata	3:0 ✺
25.05.25	Albirex Niigata - Shonan Bellmare	2:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
21.05.25	Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
18.05.25	Fagiano Okayama - Albirex Niigata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWLL
- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - ReinMeer Aomori	0:2 ✺
Japan J1 League
31.05.25	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers	3:1 ✺
21.05.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Vissel Kobe	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
15.02.25	Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata	1:1
18.10.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata	0:0
15.05.24	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:1
24.11.23	Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata	0:0
14.05.23	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos	2:1
Japan J League Cup
16.05.18	Yokohama F. Marinos - Albirex Niigata	2:1
04.04.18	Albirex Niigata - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:3

Upcoming Matches