Match Info

Date: 15 February 2022, Tuesday


	York City		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.75
	1.72	3.55	4
	1.64	3.75	4.5
	1.65	3.75	4.91
	1.73	3.5	4.2
	1.65	3.88	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.62)	3.7 ↓ (3.72)	4.49 ↓ (4.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
55%

Draw
24.7%

AFC Telford United
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

24.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

15.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for York City than the current prediction. (-19.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with York City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AFC Telford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

York City - AFC Telford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 21).

Last 5 head-to-head matches York won 3.

York is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Telford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Telford have a series of home games.

In this match York is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches York won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English FA Trophy
12.02.22	York City - Morpeth Town	3:2 ✺
English National League North
09.02.22	Bradford Park Avenue - York City	2:4 ✺
05.02.22	Blyth Spartans - York City	0:3 ✺
29.01.22	York City - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
25.01.22	York City - Bradford Park Avenue	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWTL
- AFC Telford United
English National League North
12.02.22	AFC Telford United - Kidderminster Harriers	0:1 ✺
08.02.22	AFC Telford United - Southport	0:3 ✺
05.02.22	Curzon Ashton - AFC Telford United	0:0 ✺
29.01.22	AFC Telford United - Bradford Park Avenue	3:0 ✺
22.01.22	AFC Telford United - Darlington	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.01.20	York City - AFC Telford United	2:0
12.10.19	AFC Telford United - York City	1:1
27.04.19	York City - AFC Telford United	1:0
27.10.18	AFC Telford United - York City	2:1
16.01.18	AFC Telford United - York City	3:5
05.08.17	York City - AFC Telford United	0:1

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