Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	York City		Spennymoor Town

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.05	3.2	3.35
	2.1	3.13	3.71
	1.83	3.3	3.9
	1.96	3.35	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.77)	3.18 ↓ (3.52)	3.59 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
45.8%

Draw
28.7%

Spennymoor Town
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

27%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that York City's form might have worsened.

Spennymoor Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

York City - Spennymoor Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches York won 2.

York is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Spennymoor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

York could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently York have a series of guest games.

Recently Spennymoor have a series of home games.

In this match York is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches York won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16-13.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League North
12.04.22	Chorley - York City	2:2 ✺
09.04.22	Brackley Town - York City	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Kettering Town - York City	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
02.04.22	Bromley - York City	3:1 ✺
English National League North
26.03.22	York City - Leamington	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLW
- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
09.04.22	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	1:0 ✺
05.04.22	Spennymoor Town - Bradford Park Avenue	0:2 ✺
02.04.22	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	0:3 ✺
26.03.22	Spennymoor Town - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
22.03.22	Spennymoor Town - Fylde	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
30.08.21	Spennymoor Town - York City	1:3
12.12.20	York City - Spennymoor Town	1:1
24.08.19	Spennymoor Town - York City	1:4
19.04.19	York City - Spennymoor Town	2:3
30.10.18	Spennymoor Town - York City	3:0
20.01.18	York City - Spennymoor Town	2:2
05.09.17	Spennymoor Town - York City	2:4

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