Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 18

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ypiranga		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3	2.87
	2.30	2.95	3.00
	2.31	3.20	3.16
	2.34	3.05	3.18	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.05
	2.27	2.92	3.15
	2.25	2.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)	2.99 ↑ (2.95)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
39.8%

Draw
30.4%

Ferroviária
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

29.9%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Ypiranga - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Ypiranga (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ypiranga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Lucas Maticoli (G) 33. Alex Goncalves 27. Dionisio 21. Leo Gobo 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 80. Marcelinho 6. Nicolas 43. Ramon Vinicius 17. Ranisson 3. Willian Gomes	31. Denis Junior (G) 8. Alencar 29. Eduardo Oliveira 7. Fau 13. Gustavo Medina (C) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 18. Rafael Carillho 23. Schilling Arthur 19. Thiago M. 11. Vitor Barreto 40. Ze Vitor
Substitutes
41. Adilson Junior 20. Dudu 12. Edu (G) 7. Felipe Ferreira 10. Leo Rafael 79. Nathan Zamith 23. Pitol L. 4. Reinaldo 5. Robson Lopes 11. Vini Charopem 22. Walce 35. Ze Carlos (G)	21. Alan Stence 44. Carlao 9. Denilson Silva 36. Douglas Skilo 15. Fernandinho 4. Guilherme Ferreira 34. Gustavo Jundi (G) 77. Juninho 51. Pedrinho 6. Rhuan 5. Ricardinho
Coaches
Gabardo Junior	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Vitor Barreto 🟨,
44', Dionisio 🟨,
44', Alex Goncalves 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Rafael Carillho 🟥,
64', Ranisson ↓, Nathan Zamith ↑,
65', Schilling Arthur ↓, Guilherme Ferreira ↑,
65', Fau ↓, Ricardinho ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Leo Gobo ⚽,
72', Thiago M. ↓, Denilson Silva ↑,
72', Vitor Barreto ↓, Juninho ↑,
83', 🟨,
85', Marcelinho ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
88', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+2', Lucas Ramos ↓, Walce ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ))

Ypiranga is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ypiranga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ypiranga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.26	Guarani - Ypiranga	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Ypiranga - Floresta	4:1 ✺
26.07.26	Ypiranga - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Maranhão - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Ypiranga - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWWLW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.26	Ferroviária - Paysandu	4:0 ✺
08.08.26	Figueirense - Ferroviária	2:2 ✺
25.07.26	Ferroviária - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
12.07.26	Ituano - Ferroviária	1:3 ✺
04.07.26	Ferroviária - Caxias	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
05.10.24	Ferroviária - Ypiranga	4:2
31.08.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	0:0
04.08.24	Ypiranga - Ferroviária	0:1

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