Match Info

SWITZERLAND: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 33

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade Municipal (Yverdon-les-Bains)

Referee: Scharli D. (Sui)


	Yverdon		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.2	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.83	3.85	2.32
	2.7	3.4	2.25
	2.84	3.8	2.25	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.3)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	2.26 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yverdon
33.5%

Draw
25.8%

Thun
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

25.4%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

24.8%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yverdon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yverdon's form might have worsened.

Thun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thun's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yverdon than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yverdon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thun than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Yverdon - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Yverdon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Thun will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yverdon: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Yverdon won 2.

Yverdon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Thun is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Thun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Yverdon won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Yverdon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yverdon-Sport FC
Swiss Challenge League
05.05.23	Yverdon - Lausanne-Sport	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	Vaduz - Yverdon	0:0 ✺
21.04.23	Yverdon - Bellinzona	1:2 ✺
14.04.23	Schaffhausen - Yverdon	3:4 ✺
07.04.23	Yverdon - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WTLWW
- FC Thun
Swiss Challenge League
07.05.23	Thun - Vaduz	3:3 ✺
28.04.23	Neuchâtel Xamax - Thun	1:1 ✺
22.04.23	Lausanne Ouchy - Thun	2:2 ✺
14.04.23	Thun - Aarau	2:3 ✺
08.04.23	Wil 1900 - Thun	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
24.02.23	Thun - Yverdon	3:1
17.10.22	Thun - Yverdon	1:3
29.07.22	Yverdon - Thun	3:1
21.05.22	Thun - Yverdon	2:1
25.02.22	Yverdon - Thun	2:2
30.10.21	Yverdon - Thun	1:0
03.08.21	Thun - Yverdon	3:0

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