Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	TCS GO


	Zacatecoluca		Alianza San Miguel

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.05	1.4
	8.3	4.42	1.38
	7.87	4.65	1.37	Watch
	6.89	4.35	1.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.39 ↑ (5.99)	4.37 ↑ (3.82)	1.4 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zacatecoluca
12.5%

Draw
21.2%

Alianza San Miguel
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

24.1%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

23.3%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Zacatecoluca - Alianza San Miguel Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Portillo J. ⚽,
8', 0 - 2, Moura G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Zacatecoluca has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Alianza is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.

In this match, Alianza is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Zacatecoluca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Zacatecoluca won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alianza FC	13	4	6	3	20:19	1	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zacatecoluca FC
El Salvador Primera Division
22.02.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Zacatecoluca	2:2 ✺
18.02.26	Municipal Limeño - Zacatecoluca	2:1 ✺
15.02.26	Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	CD FAS - Zacatecoluca	1:0 ✺
04.02.26	Zacatecoluca - Hércules	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL
- Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Copa Presidente
24.02.26	Batanecos - Alianza San Miguel	0:1 ✺
El Salvador Primera Division
21.02.26	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	1:0 ✺
18.02.26	Águila - Alianza San Miguel	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	CD FAS - Alianza San Miguel	3:1 ✺
El Salvador Copa Presidente
12.02.26	Vendaval - Alianza San Miguel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
09.11.25	Alianza San Miguel - Zacatecoluca	1:1
07.09.25	Zacatecoluca - Alianza San Miguel	0:1

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