Match Info

Division 2 - Round 29

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Zagłębie 2 Lubin		Olimpia Elbląg

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	6.5
	1.49	4.1	5.6
	1.34	4.98	9.08
	1.62	3.98	5.1	Watch
	1.36	4.33	7
	1.47	4.1	5.74	Watch
	1.49	4.1	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.61)	4.3 ↑ (4)	6.37 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie 2 Lubin
64%

Draw
21.5%

Olimpia Elbląg
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

22.9%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

22%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie 2 Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie 2 Lubin's performance.

Olimpia Elbląg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olimpia Elbląg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie 2 Lubin than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (+5%)

Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matys M. (G) 4. Abrahamsson A. 7. Adamczyk H. 9. Adamski R. 20. Dziewiatowski M. 8. Fritzson L. 5. Jach J. (C) 11. Kruszelnicki P. 10. Mikolajewski D. 3. Sochan K. 2. Zynek B.	27. Witan A. (G) 12. Czaplinski D. 6. Czernis M. 5. Gorecki K. 11. Kordykiewicz O. 3. Matynia H. (C) 16. Szalecki D. 13. Tobojka M. 30. Wierzba D. 10. Yatsenko O. 17. Zielinski W.
Substitutes
19. Czekala M. . Gregorski D. 16. Koczy K. 18. Laskowski K. . Lipp M. 33. Malczuk N. . Nowogonski K. 12. Slobodzian D. (G) . Wandachowicz B.	15. Fyk O. 19. Kozera D. 29. Pirog J. 7. Skwierczynski K. 25. Sznajder F. 14. Tyaglo O. 1. Valion A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Adamczyk H. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Adamski R. ⚽,
19', 2 - 1, ⚽,
21', 3 - 1, Jach J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 🟨,
53', 4 - 1, Adamczyk H. ⚽,
63', 4 - 2, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
82', 🟨,
90+1', 🟥,
90+2', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Zagłębie 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Elbląg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Elbląg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zagłębie 2 is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie 2 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie 2 Lubin
Polish Division 2
27.04.25	Hutnik - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - KKS Kalisz	2:0 ✺
12.04.25	ŁKS Łódź II - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:3 ✺
09.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Polonia Bytom	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWTL
- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 2
26.04.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Resovia Rzeszów	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Rekord Bielsko-Biała - Olimpia Elbląg	4:0 ✺
12.04.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
02.04.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Olimpia Elbląg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
05.10.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:0
10.03.24	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	1:2
26.08.23	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1
13.05.23	Olimpia Elbląg - Zagłębie 2 Lubin	0:1
08.10.22	Zagłębie 2 Lubin - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1

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