Match Info

Date: 17 July 2020, Friday


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		Stal Mielec

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.75
	3.9	3.4	1.78
	3.85	3.3	1.85
	3.8	3.55	1.83
	4.35	3.53	1.88
	3.9	3.3	1.83
	4.1	3.54	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (2.84)	3.45 ↓ (3.49)	1.83 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
23.1%

Draw
26.7%

Stal Mielec
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

26.4%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.5%

19.1%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zagłębie Sosnowiec's form might have worsened.

Stal Mielec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Mielec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Mielec than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Mielec could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Mielec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polish Division 1
14.07.20	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:3 ✺
10.07.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Warta Poznań	0:2 ✺
03.07.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Chrobry Głogów	0:2 ✺
30.06.20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1 ✺
26.06.20	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLLTL
- Stal Mielec
Polish Division 1
14.07.20	Stal Mielec - Chrobry Głogów	1:0 ✺
10.07.20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Stal Mielec	2:1 ✺
04.07.20	Stal Mielec - Odra Opole	1:1 ✺
30.06.20	GKS Jastrzębie - Stal Mielec	1:2 ✺
27.06.20	Stal Mielec - Radomiak Radom	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
03.11.19	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
28.04.18	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Mielec	3:1
30.09.17	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:1
21.05.17	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Mielec	1:1
30.10.16	Stal Mielec - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0
Club Friendly
13.07.16	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Mielec	1:3
03.02.16	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - Stal Mielec	1:1

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