Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 17

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	CD Guadalajara		Zamora

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.68	3.2	2.48
	2.79	3.35	2.49
	2.69	3.35	2.5	Watch
	2.63	3	2.45
	2.66	3.13	2.42
	2.6	3.25	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.54)	3.19 ↑ (3.13)	2.44 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Guadalajara
34.2%

Draw
28.6%

Zamora
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

29.1%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

29.7%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Guadalajara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Guadalajara than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

CD Guadalajara - Zamora Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guadalajara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Zamora will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Zamora (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zamora (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Vicente D. (G) 5. Gallardo D. 4. Ablanque J. (C) 15. Rodriguez V. 18. Martinez J. 19. Munoz P. 22. Samuel 14. Tavares R. 7. Neskes 8. Calvo T. 24. Caropitche S. M.	1. Sobron F. (G) 4. Athuman I. 2. Luengo Herrera L. M. 20. Codina M. 22. Sancho J. 7. Kike 16. Lozano M. 10. Ramos C. (C) 3. Merchan D. 9. Eslava J. 18. Farrell J.
Substitutes
11. Alvarez U. 9. Canizo A. 23. Casado J. 16. Cera 3. Moreno A. 21. Ramirez M. 6. Rojo P. 29. Verdu M. 1. Zarco A. (G)	17. Carbonell J. 14. Claveria P. 6. Garcia M. 21. Lopez M. 23. Lopez S. 8. Lucero R. 19. Monerris A. 13. Pereda A. (G) 5. Ruiz E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Tavares R. 🟨,
30', Athuman I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
47', 0 - 1, Merchan D. ⚽,
51', 1 - 1, Caropitche S. M. ⚽,
59', Eslava J. ↓, Ruiz E. ↑,
59', Athuman I. ↓, Carbonell J. ↑,
64', Ramos C. 🟨,
64', Neskes ↓, Alvarez U. ↑,
64', Samuel ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
73', Lozano M. 🟨,
73', Calvo T. ↓, Rojo P. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Luengo Herrera L. M. ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, Farrell J. ⚽,
90+2', Farrell J. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 3, Munoz P. ⚽,
90+11', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Guadalajara has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zamora is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guadalajara may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Barcelona	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.12.25	Real Madrid Castilla - CD Guadalajara	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Osasuna B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	CD Guadalajara - Ceuta	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.11.25	Pontevedra - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWWT
- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.12.25	Cacereño - Zamora	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Zamora - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Osasuna B - Zamora	1:3 ✺
23.11.25	Zamora - Talavera de la Reina	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Ferrol - Zamora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WTWWL

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