Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	CMM TV, Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Tenerife		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	1.36	3.9	8
	1.37	4.25	8.1
	1.36	4.67	8.34	Watch
	1.36	3.9	7.5
	1.4	4.18	8.58
	1.35	4.2	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	4.18 ↓ (4.19)	8 ↓ (8.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
66.8%

Draw
21.8%

Talavera de la Reina
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

22.2%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

21.7%

11.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Tenerife - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Tenerife (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2 - Tenerife (3.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tenerife will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tenerife will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 10. Gil N. 15. Fabricio 6. Juanjo 20. Manjam A. 18. Enric (C) 11. Mesa M.	1. Gonzalez J. (G) 2. Cuenca D. 4. Lopez A. 5. Molina S. 3. Roig A. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E. (C) 18. Capo P. 23. Farrando M. 16. Navarro I. 9. Moreno M. 21. Montero Sergio
Substitutes
17. Balde M. 5. Calavera J. 9. de Miguel J. 23. Jorge J. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 21. Mateu M. 7. Montes C. 28. Sabina F. 16. Sanz A. 27. Ulloa A. 3. Zoilo A.	20. Ferni 19. Gomez V. 14. Molina A. 6. Pitu 13. Rocafort R. (G) 8. Sanchez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Molina S. 🟨,
8', Enric 🟨,
24', Roig A. 🟨,
31', Lopez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Montero Sergio ↓, Molina A. ↑,
62', Navarro I. ↓, Pitu ↑,
64', Rodriguez D. ↓, Mateu M. ↑,
64', Mesa M. ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
64', Farrando M. 🟨,
67', Fabricio ↓, Sanz A. ↑,
69', Roig A. ↓, Ferni ↑,
78', Manjam A. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
78', Enric ↓, Balde M. ↑,
89', Moreno M. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 0, Alvarez C. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 13).

Tenerife is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Talavera has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Tenerife is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.01.26	Osasuna B - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Tenerife - Ponferradina	2:0 ✺
13.12.25	Real Avilés - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Lugo - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Tenerife - Granada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWTL
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.01.26	Talavera de la Reina - CD Guadalajara	2:0 ✺
21.12.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Real Madrid	2:3 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.12.25	Talavera de la Reina - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Arenteiro - Talavera de la Reina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLWL

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