Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 24

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)

Referee: Frances R. (Esp)


	Cartagena		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.75
	1.75	3.3	5	Watch
	1.8	3.3	5.2
	1.8	3.46	5.37
	1.83	3.25	4.2
	1.73	3.56	5.2	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.93)	3.33 ↑ (3.19)	4.98 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Cartagena
52.9%

Draw
28.2%

Amorebieta
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

29.4%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

27.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cartagena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Cartagena - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: Cartagena will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Raul C. (G) 16. Calero I. 4. Alcala P. (C) 5. Verdu G. 14. Fontan J. 23. Alarcon T. 18. Musto D. 6. Andy 20. Izquierdo J. 9. Ortuno A. 12. Narvaez J.	30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Manu 3. Etxeita X. (C) 28. Garreta F. 29. Troncho A. 21. Carbonell A. 8. Moran E. 17. Rodriguez R. 7. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E.
Substitutes
32. Alamo J. 35. Ayllon I. 19. Embalo U. 21. Jansson I. 11. Juan Carlos 29. Lauti 1. Martinez M. (G) 22. Olivas K. 26. Ortiz A. 48. Reyes J. (G) 17. Rico M. 33. Sola A.	5. Bustinza U. 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 24. Gaya J. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 2. Mier J. 22. Morcillo J. 27. Quintero L. 11. Seguin I. 23. Unzueta I.
Coaches
Calero J.	Jandro

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Cartagena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amorebieta is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Amorebieta have a series of home games.

In this match Cartagena is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Cartagena won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Cartagena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
21.01.24	Racing Santander - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Cartagena - Villarreal B	4:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Huesca - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Cartagena - Burgos	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
20.01.24	Amorebieta - Eldense	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Amorebieta - Celta de Vigo	2:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
17.12.23	Amorebieta - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.10.23	Amorebieta - Cartagena	0:0
21.05.22	Cartagena - Amorebieta	5:0
16.10.21	Amorebieta - Cartagena	2:3

Upcoming Matches