Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 25

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Amorebieta		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.1	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.8	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.88	3.14	2.62
	2.98	3.09	2.71
	2.88	3.1	2.38
	2.79	3.28	2.56	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.15)	3.11 ↑ (3)	2.54 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
32.9%

Draw
30.1%

Racing Santander
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31.3%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

32.3%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	57.9%	26.3%

Amorebieta - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Racing will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 5. Bustinza U. 3. Etxeita X. 28. Garreta F. 7. Dorrio J. 21. Carbonell A. 6. Yriarte J. 29. Troncho A. 9. Jauregi E. 14. Eraso J.	13. Ezkieta J. (G) 23. Fernandez D. 5. Sanchez G. 18. Manu 40. Garcia M. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 21. Aldasoro A. 20. Junior L. 17. Peque 7. Sangalli M. 9. Arana J.
Substitutes
10. Edwards R. 24. Gaya J. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 8. Moran E. 22. Morcillo J. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 20. Sibo K. 23. Unzueta I.	15. Alves R. 12. Baturina R. 3. Garcia S. 19. Grenier C. 22. Gutierrez J. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 8. Mboula J. 16. Morante I. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 14. Zenitagoia E.
Coaches
Jandro	Lopez J.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 1.

Amorebieta has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
27.01.24	Cartagena - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
20.01.24	Amorebieta - Eldense	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Real Oviedo - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Amorebieta - Celta de Vigo	2:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Amorebieta - Alcorcón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLL
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
29.01.24	Valladolid - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
21.01.24	Racing Santander - Cartagena	0:2 ✺
12.01.24	Eibar - Racing Santander	2:0 ✺
19.12.23	Racing Santander - FC Andorra	2:0 ✺
16.12.23	Eldense - Racing Santander	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.09.23	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:0
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:0
21.07.21	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.04.21	Amorebieta - Racing Santander	1:2
10.01.21	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	0:1
Club Friendly
11.10.20	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.19	Racing Santander - Amorebieta	1:1

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