Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Zhestar Stadium (Aktau)


	Kaspiy Aktau		Zhenis

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.10	2.35
	2.40	2.95	2.60	Watch
	2.78	3.25	2.58
	2.78	3.12	2.46	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.40
	2.80	3.32	2.44	Watch
	2.70	3.00	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.68)	3.11 ↑ (2.87)	2.46 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaspiy Aktau
33.8%

Draw
29.2%

Zhenis
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

32%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

33.5%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	62.5%	25%

Kaspiy Aktau - Zhenis Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kaspiy will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Zhomart D. (G) 21. Aripov D. 14. Amaral A. 67. Kalmyrza M. 19. Taykenov M. 15. Epton D. 23. Nabikhanov A. (C) 26. Sedko P. 17. Klimovich V. 11. Ndombasi N. 9. Abylaykhan R.	41. Plotnikov M. (G) 14. Saulet A. 13. Tursynbay S. 63. Saravanja I. 72. Askarov M. 8. Khaseyn M. 7. Kuat I. (C) 88. Martins G. 11. Filipovic A. 93. Elder Santana 19. Adilio
Substitutes
1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 29. Bekmyrza A. 55. Elemes N. 60. Kaldybay B. (G) 18. Kucheriavyi M. 27. Nechayev D. 13. Serikbay M. 93. Sylla K. 10. Umaev I. 47. Usenov D.	17. Adilov A. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 4. Bystrov M. 10. Imnadze L. 3. Kpozo P. 18. Madelkhan B. 9. Naumets V. 1. Sotnik I. (G) 29. Zharynbetov S.
Coaches
Shoytymov E.	Aliyev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Nabikhanov A. ⚽, Abylaykhan R. (A),
19', Saulet A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 1, Martins G. ⚽, Filipovic A. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Amaral A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 3 - 1, Abylaykhan R. ⚽, Sedko P. (A),
54', Abylaykhan R. 🟨,
54', Zhomart D. 🟨,
56', Martins G. (Penalty Awarded),
58', Saulet A. ↓, Adilov A. ↑,
65', Abylaykhan R. ↓, Sylla K. ↑,
66', Aripov D. ↓, Nechayev D. ↑,
67', Kuat I. 🟥,
67', Filipovic A. 🟨,
68', Taykenov M. 🟨,
70', Elder Santana ↓, Zharynbetov S. ↑,
75', Ndombasi N. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
75', Sedko P. ↓, Usenov D. ↑,
80', Saravanja I. 🟥,
82', Umaev I. (Penalty Awarded),
85', Klimovich V. ↓, Elemes N. ↑,
88', Usenov D. 🟨,
89', Elemes N. 🟨,
90', 3 - 2, Tursynbay S. ⚽, Naumets V. (A),
90+2', Zharynbetov S. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).

Kaspiy is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Zhenis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kaspiy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
18.07.26	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Ordabasy	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Atyrau - Kaspiy Aktau	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Atyrau	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ordabasy - Kaspiy Aktau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.4 TWWWL
- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
18.07.26	Zhenis - Ulytau	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Zhenis	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Astana - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Zhenis - Astana	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Zhenis - Ertis Pavlodar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Zhenis - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0

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