Match Info

Premier League - Round 18

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Astana Arena (Astana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Zhenis		Ulytau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.71	3.40	4.20
	1.8	3.2	4.45	Watch
	1.84	3.3	5.32
	1.71	3.47	4.67	Watch
	1.76	2.85	5.25
	1.84	3.36	4.41	Watch
	1.79	3.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.07)	3.25 ↑ (3.1)	4.67 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zhenis
51.9%

Draw
28.4%

Ulytau
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

29.9%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

29%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zhenis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zhenis's performance.

Ulytau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ulytau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zhenis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulytau than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ulytau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zhenis - Ulytau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Plotnikov M. (G) 4. Bystrov M. 5. Tevzadze Z. 63. Saravanja I. 14. Saulet A. 88. Martins G. 7. Kuat I. (C) 3. Kpozo P. 11. Filipovic A. 93. Elder Santana 19. Adilio	1. Nepogodov D. (G) 2. Carmona Sierra D. 28. Bugulov G. (C) 25. Bukhal G. 12. Afanasenko V. 8. Vachiberadze B. 18. Bougnone A. 14. Harada H. 90. Martin D. 11. Smith A. 7. Kishi K.
Substitutes
17. Adilov A. 72. Askarov M. 97. Besengaliyev Y. 30. Gorobchenko N. 8. Khaseyn M. 18. Madelkhan B. 9. Naumets V. 77. Shanshar N. (G) 1. Sotnik I. (G) 13. Tursynbay S. 29. Zharynbetov S.	4. Chalkin M. 22. Chernyak I. 69. Maulenov D. 21. Nurali O. 6. Nursultanov K. 9. Serikkul R. 40. Shcherbakov S. (G) 10. Taubay A. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 45. Zulfikarov B.
Coaches
Aliyev A.	Mazbaev N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Martins G. 🟨,
43', Kishi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martin D. ↓, Chernyak I. ↑,
56', Smith A. ↓, Zulfikarov B. ↑,
61', Adilio ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
62', Filipovic A. 🟨,
65', 0 - 1, Zulfikarov B. ⚽,
70', Kpozo P. ↓, Zharynbetov S. ↑,
75', Kishi K. ↓, Taubay A. ↑,
76', Tevzadze Z. 🟨,
78', Bystrov M. ↓, Khaseyn M. ↑,
78', Saulet A. ↓, Adilov A. ↑,
85', Vachiberadze B. ↓, Serikkul R. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Khaseyn M. ⚽, Filipovic A. (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Zhenis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Zhenis is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zhenis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Zhenis won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Zhenis	26	8	8	10	26:32	-6	32
9	Ulytau	26	8	8	10	24:32	-8	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zhenis
Kazakh Premier League
11.07.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Zhenis	0:1 ✺
03.07.26	Astana - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Zhenis - Astana	2:2 ✺
20.06.26	Zhenis - Ertis Pavlodar	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Ulytau - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTTL
- FC Ulytau
Kazakh Premier League
12.07.26	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Ordabasy - Ulytau	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ulytau - Ordabasy	0:1 ✺
20.06.26	Kaisar - Ulytau	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Ulytau - Zhenis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
14.06.26	Ulytau - Zhenis	2:1
05.07.25	Zhenis - Ulytau	2:0
30.03.25	Ulytau - Zhenis	1:1

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