Match Info

Premier League - Round 19

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Semey)


	Yelimay Semey		Kaisar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.63	3.60	4.33
	1.62	3.75	4.65	Watch
	1.67	3.95	4.78
	1.64	3.82	4.63	Watch
	1.65	3.7	4.4
	1.7	3.9	4.43	Watch
	1.63	3.65	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.94)	3.77 ↑ (3.02)	4.5 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yelimay Semey
55.4%

Draw
24.3%

Kaisar
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

30.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.6%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yelimay Semey's performance.

Kaisar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yelimay Semey that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaisar than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Yelimay Semey - Kaisar Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Yelimay (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Yelimay Semey will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Konovalov I. (G) 26. Tanasijevic S. 3. Higor Gabriel 15. Mittendorfer M. 20. Ashirbek A. 44. Tyulyubay A. 23. Ilic H. 17. Bakhtiyarov A. 77. Placca F. (C) 11. Sviridov I. 10. Payruz Z.	1. Salaydin N. (C) 93. Askarov S. 25. Bukorac S. 43. Klaidher 2. Redzhepov T. 6. Kaldybekov E. 24. Cuckic N. 10. Agostinho 11. Moses V. 70. Ezekiel I. 9. Agzambaev N.
Substitutes
2. Adambayev A. 88. Baygaliev A. 27. Berezkin E. 7. Murtazaev R. 8. Omatay M. 14. Palacio D. 9. Soto R. 1. Tsuprikov E. (G) 67. Zhilin A.	14. Gustavo Zago 15. Idrisov N. 47. Konlimkos B. 40. Kovac A. (G) 96. Mukhammed A. 18. Rustemuly D. 3. Tolegenov A. 13. Zhaksylyk N. 17. Zhumabekov S.
Coaches
Karpovich A.	Ferapontov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Agzambaev N. 🟨,
23', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Bakhtiyarov A. ⚽, Payruz Z. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Agostinho ↓, Zhaksylyk N. ↑,
60', Ezekiel I. ↓, Gustavo Zago ↑,
60', Agzambaev N. ↓, Mukhammed A. ↑,
67', Sviridov I. ↓, Murtazaev R. ↑,
68', Moses V. ↓, Zhumabekov S. ↑,
68', Zhaksylyk N. 🟨,
70', Murtazaev R. 🟥,
74', 1 - 1, Gustavo Zago ⚽,
80', Gustavo Zago 🟨,
82', Payruz Z. 🟨,
84', Kaldybekov E. ↓, Konlimkos B. ↑,
84', Bakhtiyarov A. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
84', Ilic H. ↓, Omatay M. ↑,
85', Placca F. ↓, Berezkin E. ↑,
89', Payruz Z. ↓, Soto R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kaisar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Yelimay is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Yelimay won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	25	10	8	7	35:33	2	38
13	Kaisar Kyzylorda	26	4	12	10	22:33	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yelimay Semey
Kazakh Premier League
19.07.26	Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Yelimay Semey - Alashkert	2:3 penalties ✺
09.07.26	Alashkert - Yelimay Semey	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
04.07.26	Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey	0:1 ✺
27.06.26	Yelimay Semey - Kyzylzhar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLTWW
- Kaisar Kyzylorda
Kazakh Premier League
18.07.26	Kaisar - Kaspiy Aktau	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Ulytau - Kaisar	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Kaisar - Ertis Pavlodar	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ertis Pavlodar - Kaisar	1:2 ✺
20.06.26	Kaisar - Ulytau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
28.05.26	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:3
29.06.25	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	1:2
09.03.25	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	2:0
13.07.24	Kaisar - Yelimay Semey	2:1
06.04.24	Yelimay Semey - Kaisar	1:0

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