The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aktobe 48.4%
Draw 29.3%
Atyrau 22.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.7%
31.7%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
30.4%
41.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aktobe's performance.
Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atyrau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-20.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aktobe that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+19%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atyrau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.5%
9.5%
0%
Aktobe - Atyrau Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Aktobe will win (votes: 19 - 90.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Aktobe: 78% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Aktobe (1.50) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aktobe (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 18. Ordets I. (C) 23. Erlanov T. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 80. Kenesov A. 20. Zhukov G. 21. Alvarez P. 31. Tanzharikov A. 10. Zeljkovic A. 11. Shushenachev A. 14. Pibe
35. Tokhtarov N. (G) 2. Tkachenko Y. 6. Yudenkov R. 5. Satanov S. 10. Dzhumatov R. (C) 78. Khvalko E. 55. Noyok O. 17. Kalmuratov K. 14. Dorofeev K. 9. Abdulla A. 7. Henrique
Substitutes
42. Baydavletov A. 48. Kenzhegulov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 52. Kusainov S. (G) 19. Laturnus V. 54. Ospan D. 49. Toregali N. 1. Trofimets I. (G)
27. Berdesh N. 99. Kereev B. 21. Orynbasar D. 77. Pangerey M. 12. Sagat N. (G) 11. Seytkaliev A. 18. Trufanov Y. 90. Yusov D. 25. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Tarkovic S.
Cheburin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Pibe 🟨,
34', Kalmuratov K. 🟨,
42', Shushenachev A. 🟨,
45', Khvalko E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kenesov A. ↓, Kikbaev M. ↑,
46', Abdulla A. ↓, Trufanov Y. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Trufanov Y. ⚽, Dorofeev K. (A),
60', Alvarez P. ↓, Laturnus V. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Laturnus V. ⚽,
73', Zhukov G. 🟨,
74', Pibe ↓, Kenzhegulov A. ↑,
74', Dorofeev K. ↓, Seytkaliev A. ↑,
90', Seytkaliev A. 🟨,
90+1', Laturnus V. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 3.
Aktobe has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Atyrau is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Aktobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Aktobe has had a series of home games.
Aktobe might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 11 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:18. (average 2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Aktobe won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Aktobe
28
13
6
9
42:35
7
45
12
Atyrau
28
5
12
11
22:32
-10
27
Last Results with these Odds
Atyrau - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.6%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Kazakhstan
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Zarutskiy A. (G) 
Ordets I. (C) 
Alvarez P. 
Zeljkovic A. 
Pibe 
Yudenkov R. 
Dorofeev K. 
Henrique 
Tarkovic S. 
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