The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turan Turkistan 9.7%
Draw 20.2%
Aktobe 70.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
14%
22.3%
63.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16%
19.5%
55.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aktobe's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turan Turkistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aktobe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
78. Zakirov T. (G) 7. Abzalov S. 5. Asan A. 17. Bakirov S. 71. Chirkov R. 24. Duysenbekuly K. 28. Khadzhiev A. 8. Kuralbaev E. 25. Sapanov M. 10. Usipkhanov R. (C) 9. Zulfikarov B.
25. Vlad A. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 42. Baydavletov A. 12. Doumbouya A. 18. Jean J. 5. Kairov B. (C) 15. Kiki G. 30. Korzun N. 19. Omirtaev O. 29. Usenov D. 88. Vatajelu B.
Substitutes
11. Abbas A. 95. Abdimutalipov K. 70. Duisenkaly M. 27. Mukhammetzhanuly M. (G) 82. Perdebay N. 19. Sarsenbay E. 68. Serikuly D. 16. Yerlan D. 89. Zhumakhan A.
4. Agbo U. 6. Kasym A. 48. Kenzhegulov A. 2. Skvortsov L. 31. Tanzharikov A. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 10. Umaev I. 57. Umaniyazov M. 20. Zhukov E. (G) 3. Zhumagali S.
Coaches
Buribaev A.
Levchuk V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Doumbouya A. ⚽, Usenov D. (A),
14', 0 - 2, Usenov D. ⚽, Vatajelu B. (A),
27', Usipkhanov R. (Pen),
45+3', Asan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Doumbouya A. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
46', Baydavletov A. ↓, Zhukov E. ↑,
66', Bakirov S. ↓, Abbas A. ↑,
76', Khadzhiev A. ↓, Sarsenbay E. ↑,
78', Korzun N. ↓, Agbo U. ↑,
82', Abzalov S. 🟨,
84', Usenov D. ↓, Umaniyazov M. ↑,
88', Chirkov R. ↓, Abdimutalipov K. ↑,
89', Omirtaev O. ↓, Kenzhegulov A. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 3, Umaev I. (Pen),
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 4).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 0.
Turan is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Aktobe is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Aktobe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Aktobe is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Turan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Kazakhstan
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Zakirov T. (G) 
Vlad A. (G) 
Andjelkovic N. 
Doumbouya A. 
Jean J. 
Kiki G. 
Korzun N. 
Yerlan D. 
Agbo U. 
Umaev I. 
