The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Turan Turkistan 22.7%
Draw 27.5%
Kyzylzhar 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
29.2%
41.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.8%
28.6%
40.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Turan Turkistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Turan Turkistan's form might have worsened.
Kyzylzhar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kyzylzhar's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turan Turkistan than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Turan Turkistan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyzylzhar than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kyzylzhar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
22.2%
0%
77.8%
Turan Turkistan - Kyzylzhar Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Turan will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Kyzylzhar will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kyzylzhar: 50.6% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Turan (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Kyzylzhar (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Goshev E. (G) 11. Abbas A. 18. Asanbek T. 6. Darabaev A. (C) 24. Duysenbekuly K. 8. Kuralbaev E. 15. Orynbasar R. 19. Orynbasar R. 88. Solodovnicov N. 10. Usipkhanov R. 29. Zulfikarov B.
41. Lobantsev M. (G) 99. Gorshunov E. 22. Kozlenko A. 6. Martinovic I. 55. Noyok O. (C) 5. Rafael Sabino 79. Valgushev G. 9. Valiullin R. 44. Vasiljev A. 10. Zhangylyshbay T. 14. Zharynbetov S.
Substitutes
17. Bakirov S. 28. Khadzhiev A. 27. Mukhammetzhanuly M. (G) 68. Serikuly D. 20. Turlybek A. 78. Zakirov T. (G) 89. Zhumakhan A.
1. Babakhanov D. (G) 21. Buranchiev A. 11. Cheredinov A. 17. Eleukin M. 2. Lebedev A. 77. Miroshnichenko D. 32. Petrov V. (G) 25. Toure A. 8. Ulshin A. 12. Zhakipbayev M.
Coaches
Buribaev A.
Curcic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Abbas A. ⚽, Solodovnicov N. (A),
33', Noyok O. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Valgushev G. ↓, Cheredinov A. ↑,
46', Sarsenbay E. ↓, Khadzhiev A. ↑,
57', Valiullin R. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
57', Vasiljev A. ↓, Eleukin M. ↑,
64', Solodovnicov N. ↓, Bakirov S. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Kozlenko A. ⚽, Eleukin M. (A),
73', Khadzhiev A. 🟨,
78', Rafael Sabino ↓, Miroshnichenko D. ↑,
85', Orynbasar R. 🟨,
86', 1 - 2, Zhangylyshbay T. (Pen),
89', Gorshunov E. ↓, Buranchiev A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ First League and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Turan won 3.
Turan has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Kyzylzhar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Turan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Kyzylzhar is the team to beat.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Turan won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Turan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).
Kazakhstan
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Goshev E. (G) 
Abbas A. 
Orynbasar R. 
Solodovnicov N. 
Kozlenko A. 
Martinovic I. 
Rafael Sabino 
Toure A. 
Curcic M. 
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