Match Info

CHINA: JIA LEAGUE - ROUND 27

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday


	Zibo Cuju		Shenzhen Peng City

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.4	1.62
	6	3.5	1.5
	5.69	3.52	1.64
	5.5	3.4	1.57
	5.05	3.55	1.66
	5	3.6	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↑ (2.6)	3.5 ↑ (3.24)	1.6 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zibo Cuju
17.1%

Draw
26%

Shenzhen Peng City
56.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

25.7%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zibo Cuju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zibo Cuju's form might have worsened.

Shenzhen Peng City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shenzhen Peng City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zibo Cuju than the current prediction. (+20.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zibo Cuju, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shenzhen Peng City than the current prediction. (-22.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shenzhen Peng City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	5.3%	84.2%

Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen Peng City Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Zibo Cuju will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Shenzhen Peng City will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shenzhen Peng City: 67.8% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 8 and 6).

Recent matches Zibo Cuju is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sichuan Jiuniu is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sichuan Jiuniu is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Zibo Cuju won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Zibo Cuju won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zibo Cuju
Chinese Jia League
30.10.22	Beijing Sport University - Zibo Cuju	0:1 ✺
26.10.22	Zibo Cuju - Suzhou Dongwu	1:3 ✺
28.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:3 ✺
25.09.22	Nanjing City - Zibo Cuju	2:3 ✺
21.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Liaoning Tieren	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWT
- Shenzhen Peng City
Chinese Jia League
31.10.22	Jiangxi Lushan - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
26.10.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Beijing Sport University	5:0 ✺
29.09.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
25.09.22	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Shenzhen Peng City	1:0 ✺
19.09.22	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao Hainiu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
30.05.21	Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen Peng City	0:0
04.05.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Zibo Cuju	0:0
Chinese Yi League
12.10.19	Zibo Cuju - Shenzhen Peng City	2:2
05.10.19	Shenzhen Peng City - Zibo Cuju	2:3

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