Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Znamya Truda		Arsenal Tula

	1	X	2
	10.1	4.8	1.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.1 ↑ (7.03)	4.8 ↑ (4.3)	1.29 ↓ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znamya Truda
9.1%

Draw
19.2%

Arsenal Tula
71.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.2%

21.6%

65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.8%

21%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znamya Truda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Arsenal Tula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal Tula's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Znamya Truda - Arsenal Tula Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Stratan D. (G) 5. Krasilshchikov I. 78. Kuznetsov P. 2. Lavrenkov A. 13. Lyubchenko O. 4. Neplyuev D. 9. Sentyurin M. 3. Shishkov R. 92. Sobolev D. 10. Urkhov R. (C) 99. Veretennikov N.	60. Kashintsev T. (G) 24. Azyavin I. 34. Dmitriev O. 23. Korotkov A. 95. Mukhin A. 6. Pechenkin N. (C) 5. Razdorskikh N. 21. Shevchenko E. 9. Turishchev M. 66. Weber D. 28. Zhilkin G.
Substitutes
24. Barinov M. 17. Kanaev M. 96. Kapanzhi S. M. 16. Khviyuzov M. (G) 8. Kostyuk M. 7. Timofeev D. 11. Vorobyov K.	42. Grebenshchikov A. 53. Grigoriev D. 27. Harutyunov A. 85. Kozyrev V. 40. Li Sa 7. Nikitin A. 90. Sugrobov V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Turishchev M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Kuznetsov P. ⚽,
27', Kuznetsov P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Turishchev M. ↓, Lee Sa D. ↑,
46', Mukhin A. ↓, Nikitin A. ↑,
49', Lee Sa D. 🟨,
63', Razdorskikh N. 🟥,
66', Weber D. ↓, Grebenshchikov A. ↑,
66', Azyavin I. ↓, Harutyunov A. ↑,
68', Sentyurin M. 🟨,
70', Lavrenkov A. ↓, Vorobyov K. ↑,
70', Sobolev D. ↓, Kostyuk M. ↑,
74', Veretennikov N. ↓, Timofeev D. ↑,
83', Neplyuev D. ↓, Kapanzhi S. M. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, Dmitriev O. (Pen),
1, Sentyurin M. (Pen),
2, Korotkov A. (Pen),
2, Shishkov R. (Pen),
3, Shevchenko E. (Pen),
3, Kuznetsov P. (Pen),
4, Zhilkin G. (Pen),
4, Vorobyov K. (Pen),
5, Pechenkin N. (Pen),
5, Urkhov R. (Pen),

Preview

Recent matches Znamya Truda is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arsenal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Arsenal is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znamya Truda Orekhovo-Zuyevo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
22.09.24	Irkutsk - Znamya Truda	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Znamya Truda - Spartak 2 Moscow	0:2 ✺
08.09.24	Zenit 2 - Znamya Truda	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
04.09.24	Znamya Truda - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
01.09.24	Znamya Truda - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLLWW
- Arsenal Tula
Russian FNL
21.09.24	Baltika Kaliningrad - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
16.09.24	Arsenal Tula - Ural	1:0 ✺
09.09.24	Torpedo Moscow - Arsenal Tula	2:2 ✺
31.08.24	Arsenal Tula - SKA Khabarovsk	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	Tyumen - Arsenal Tula	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWT

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