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Current Win Probability
Baltika Kaliningrad 47.9%
Draw 29.3%
Arsenal Tula 22.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
29.2%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
30%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baltika Kaliningrad's performance.
Arsenal Tula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arsenal Tula might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baltika Kaliningrad than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tula than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arsenal Tula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Baltika Kaliningrad - Arsenal Tula Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
67. Borisko M. (G) 16. Andrade K. (C) 14. Appaev K. 4. Gassama N. 6. Isaenko O. 99. Lisakovich V. 8. Mendel A. 18. Nikishin K. 19. Pryakhin S. 17. Saus V. 2. Varatynov S.
36. Levashov M. (G) 44. Berdnikov A. 13. Kaynov M. 18. Levin V. 78. Lipovoy D. 14. Odeyinka M. 8. Popov A. 64. Semenchuk D. 11. Tkachev S. (C) 22. Tsaraev A. 25. Volkov Z.
Substitutes
10. Alex Fernandes 70. Eldarushev A. 23. Glushkov N. 3. Kalachev I. 11. Kovalev Y. 7. Malyarov K. 96. Mokhammad A. 95. Petrov I. 9. Stefanovich I. 1. Svinov I. (G) 13. Terentjev D. 22. Titkov N.
24. Azyavin I. 34. Dmitriev O. 60. Kashintsev T. (G) 23. Korotkov A. 6. Pechenkin N. 5. Razdorskikh N. 21. Shevchenko E. 90. Sugrobov V. (G) 9. Turishchev M. 28. Zhilkin G.
Coaches
Talalaev A.
Storozhuk A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Popov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Nikishin K. ↓, Petrov I. ↑,
60', Appaev K. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
60', Lisakovich V. ↓, Mokhammad A. ↑,
64', Odeyinka M. ↓, Turishchev M. ↑,
65', Pryakhin S. 🟨,
69', Tkachev S. ↓, Zhilkin G. ↑,
76', Mendel A. ↓, Titkov N. ↑,
82', Levin V. ↓, Shevchenko E. ↑,
83', Lipovoy D. ↓, Razdorskikh N. ↑,
83', Tsaraev A. ↓, Korotkov A. ↑,
89', Pryakhin S. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Baltika won 2.
Recent matches Baltika is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arsenal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Baltika is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Baltika won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Baltika won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.
Russia
Watch
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Borisko M. (G) 
Andrade K. (C) 
Gassama N. 
Lisakovich V. 
Odeyinka M. 
Alex Fernandes 
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