Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 2 - Round 28

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Zvezda St. Petersburg		Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	2.17	3.35	2.57
	2.27	3.13	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.38)	3.24 ↑ (3)	2.72 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda St. Petersburg
40%

Draw
27.4%

Cherepovets
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

30.5%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

29.7%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda St. Petersburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda St. Petersburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Zvezda St. Petersburg - Cherepovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Vislevskiy D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 0, Nuretdinov F. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11th and 9th).

Zvezda SP is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cherepovets has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Zvezda SP may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Zvezda SP has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:5 (averaging 2.3:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zvezda SP against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Cherepovets	26	10	3	13	29:40	-11	33
10	Zvezda St. Peterburg	26	7	9	10	33:46	-13	30

Last Results with these Odds

Zvezda St. Petersburg - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 38.46%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda St. Petersburg
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
11.10.26	Spartak 2 Moscow - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:3 ✺
02.10.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Volga Tver	1:8 ✺
26.09.26	Iskra Smolensk - Zvezda St. Petersburg	3:1 ✺
18.09.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Murom	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Torpedo Vladimir	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- FC Cherepovets
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
11.10.26	Cherepovets - Torpedo Vladimir	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Cherepovets - Dynamo Vologda	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Baltika 2 - Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
13.09.26	Cherepovets - Yenisey 2	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Chertanovo - Cherepovets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
28.06.26	Cherepovets - Zvezda St. Petersburg	0:2
02.11.25	Cherepovets - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:2
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Cherepovets - Zvezda St. Petersburg	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
30.03.25	Zvezda St. Petersburg - Cherepovets	4:1

Zvezda St. Petersburg - Cherepovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide