The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águia de Marabá 10.5%
Draw 17.9%
Fortaleza 71.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
17.6%
19.5%
62.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
17.1%
18.9%
64.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Águia de Marabá's form might have worsened.
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Águia de Marabá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Águia de Marabá - Fortaleza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-6.
Recent matches Águia de Marabá is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fortaleza is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fortaleza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Fortaleza is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.