Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 3

Date: 2 May 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas (Chillán)

Referee: Ortega K. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Germany	Sport 1+


	Ñublense		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	3	Watch
	2.35	3.25	2.95
	2.32	3.4	3.1
	2.41	3.39	3.1
	2.3	3.1	2.9
	2.4	3.35	2.92	Watch
	2.38	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.2)	3.31 ↑ (3.1)	2.97 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ñublense
40%

Draw
28.4%

SD Aucas
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

30.1%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

31.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ñublense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ñublense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for SD Aucas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Ñublense - SD Aucas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Ñublense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aucas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ñublense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Ñublense
Chilean Primera Division
29.04.23	Palestino - Ñublense	1:2 ✺
24.04.23	Ñublense - Audax Italiano	2:5 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.04.23	Flamengo - Ñublense	2:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
14.04.23	Ñublense - Coquimbo Unido	1:3 ✺
Chilean Cup
09.04.23	Comunal Cabrero - Ñublense	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLW
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
28.04.23	SD Aucas - Guayaquil City	1:0 ✺
24.04.23	SD Aucas - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
20.04.23	Racing - SD Aucas	3:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.04.23	Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	SD Aucas - Emelec	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWW

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