Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 2

Date: 20 April 2023, Thursday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Ferreyra C. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4


	Racing		SD Aucas

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.35	4.8	8.5
	1.34	5.2	9
	1.34	5.34	9.43
	1.32	4.4	9
	1.35	4.95	8.7	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.34)	4.89 ↑ (4.83)	8.9 ↑ (8.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
70.2%

Draw
19.2%

SD Aucas
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

19.3%

11.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

77.8%

21.6%

10%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

SD Aucas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Racing - SD Aucas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Aucas will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aucas is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Racing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Racing is certain favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.04.23	Independiente - Racing	1:1 ✺
12.04.23	Racing - Newells Old Boys	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Racing	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	Ñublense - Racing	0:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Racing - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TLLWW
- SD Aucas
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
15.04.23	Técnico Universitario - SD Aucas	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	SD Aucas - Emelec	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
05.04.23	SD Aucas - Flamengo	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
01.04.23	Libertad Loja - SD Aucas	2:2 ✺
19.03.23	SD Aucas - Universidad Católica del Ecuador	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 WWWTW

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