Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion ŁKS (Lodz)

Referee: Piszczelok M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	ŁKS Łódź		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.75	5.5	Watch
	1.43	4.4	6
	1.45	4.75	6	Watch
	1.46	4.8	5.96
	1.47	4.61	6.01	Watch
	1.4	4.33	6.5
	1.44	4.4	6.24	Watch
	1.45	4.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)	4.6 ↓ (4.9)	6.03 ↓ (6.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ŁKS Łódź
64.4%

Draw
20.2%

Stal Stalowa Wola
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

18.9%

13.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

18%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ŁKS Łódź has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Stal Stalowa Wola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ŁKS Łódź than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ŁKS Łódź, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

ŁKS Łódź - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Users Predictions: ŁKS Łódź will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bobek A. (G) 8. Dankowski K. 2. Gulen L. 3. Tutyskinas A. 37. Glowacki P. 21. Kupczak M. 14. Mokrzycki M. 9. Arasa A. 10. Pirulo 15. Mlynarczyk A. 27. Feiertag S.	1. Wilk A. (G) 2. Kukulowicz B. 22. Banach J. (C) 4. Furtak L. 26. Zaucha P. 21. Mydlarz M. 29. Ruszel M. 24. Urban D. 20. Pioterczak B. 23. Svec J. 97. Joao Tavares
Substitutes
6. Alastuey J. 7. Balic H. 12. Bomba L. (G) 33. Majcenic A. 4. Mihaljevic I. 11. Sitek M. 24. Slawinski O. 20. Wysokinski M. 19. Zajac J.	77. Chelmecki K. 7. Gorski J. . Jonczy D. 87. Kowalski J. 16. Lelek K. 27. Pchelka C. 33. Smylek M. (G) 8. Soszynski L. 11. Strozik S.
Coaches
Dziolka J.	Pietrzykowski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Pioterczak B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pioterczak B. ↓, Chelmecki K. ↑,
60', Mlynarczyk A. ↓, Balic H. ↑,
62', Joao Tavares ↓, Strozik S. ↑,
69', Svec J. ↓, Gorski J. ↑,
70', Feiertag S. ↓, Slawinski O. ↑,
90+4', Ruszel M. 🟨,
90+5', Ruszel M. ↓, Soszynski L. ↑,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

ŁKS is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Stal Stalowa Wola is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stal Stalowa Wola could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stal Stalowa Wola have a series of home games.

In this match ŁKS is indisputable favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ŁKS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams ŁKS won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ŁKS Łódź
Polish Division 1
06.10.24	GKS Tychy - ŁKS Łódź	0:3 ✺
30.09.24	ŁKS Łódź - Wisła Płock	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
26.09.24	Grom Nowy Staw - ŁKS Łódź	0:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
17.09.24	ŁKS Łódź - Wisła Kraków	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWTW
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
05.10.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Stal Rzeszów	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Ruch Chorzów	2:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Arka Gdynia	2:3 penalties ✺
Polish Division 1
22.09.24	GKS Tychy - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Wisła Płock	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
01.05.18	ŁKS Łódź - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:2
26.08.17	Stal Stalowa Wola - ŁKS Łódź	1:1

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