Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Retail P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Montpellier		Grenoble

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.60	5.50	Watch
	1.58	3.90	5.50
	1.56	3.90	5.80	Watch
	1.59	3.99	6.21
	1.59	3.83	5.7	Watch
	1.55	3.90	6.05
	1.59	3.88	5.46	Watch
	1.57	3.85	5.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.64)	3.86 ↑ (3.79)	5.7 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
59.4%

Draw
24.2%

Grenoble
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.6%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

24%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Grenoble has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Montpellier - Grenoble Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals) and 13th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Grenoble may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Montpellier carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Montpellier: Benhattab Y. (Muscle Injury) Gueguin A. (Knee Injury) Mouanga Y. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Grenoble: Cerri L. (Inactive) Kouassi C. (Inactive) Lallias A. (Inactive) Limouri F. (Inactive) N'Gatta A. L. (Injury) Ze Leite (Inactive).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Montpellier has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Montpellier against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.46% Grenoble: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12
13	Grenoble	7	2	2	3	8:11	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Reims - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Montpellier - Pau	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Saint-Étienne - Montpellier	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWLTW
- Grenoble Foot 38
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Grenoble - Lausanne Ouchy	0:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Grenoble - Clermont	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Rodez - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Grenoble - Annecy	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Laval - Grenoble	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
17.04.26	Montpellier - Grenoble	2:1
13.12.25	Grenoble - Montpellier	1:1

Montpellier - Grenoble: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide