Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Auguste Bonal (Montbéliard)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sochaux		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	2.88	Watch
	2.40	3.10	3.00
	2.38	3	2.95	Watch
	2.49	3.2	3.19
	2.43	3.15	2.99	Watch
	2.4	3.05	3.05
	2.31	3.18	3.1	Watch
	2.39	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.22)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sochaux
39%

Draw
30.2%

Boulogne
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sochaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sochaux than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Sochaux - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sochaux will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sochaux: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th and 17th in the Relegation - Ligue 3).

Sochaux is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Boulogne has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Sochaux is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Sochaux: Cortes E. (Coach's decision) Diop P. (Inactive) Masson J. (Inactive) Vetro J. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Boulogne: Lecolier M. (Muscle Injury) Mion M. (Red Card) Moco Z. (Eye injury) Siliadin L. (Inactive).

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Sochaux has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 2:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sochaux against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Sochaux: 0.75% Boulogne: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sochaux	7	2	4	1	4:5	-1	10
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3:5	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Sochaux - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 42.06%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Boulogne - the odds 3.3 are the expected chance of winning is 28.3%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Sochaux Montbeliard
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Laval - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sochaux - Nantes	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Pau - Sochaux	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Clermont - Sochaux	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Sochaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWTTW
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
19.09.26	Boulogne - Nantes	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Clermont - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
04.09.26	Boulogne - Dijon	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Montpellier - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Boulogne - Red Star	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
02.05.25	Boulogne - Sochaux	2:3
10.01.25	Sochaux - Boulogne	1:1

Sochaux - Boulogne: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide