Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Adrian Mannarino		Aleksandar Vukic

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.35	Watch
	1.64	2.3
	1.54	2.51	Watch
	1.55	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 (1.56)	2.38 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
60.4%

Aleksandar Vukic
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Aleksandar Vukic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aleksandar Vukic than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Adrian Mannarino - Aleksandar Vukic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mannarino (votes: 1 - 50%). Vukic (votes: 1 - 50%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Adrian Mannarino (1.60) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Adrian Mannarino will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 83., and Vukic is ranked ATP: 115..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Vukic may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Mannarino is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Mannarino has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:4 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Adrian Mannarino - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Shanghai
11.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
09.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
07.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. Retired ✺
ATP Beijing
29.09.26	Adrian Mannarino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Miomir Kecmanovic - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LW?LW
- Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Challenger
15.10.26	Tomas Machac - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Hayato Matsuoka - Aleksandar Vukic	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.26	Pavel Kotov - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Jie Cui - Aleksandar Vukic	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.09.26	Aleksandar Vukic - Evan Zhu	Vukic A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Almaty
17.10.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Adrian Mannarino	2:0
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Adrian Mannarino	2:1
ATP Challenger
08.03.20	Adrian Mannarino - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0
02.01.17	Adrian Mannarino - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0

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