Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Davis Cup - World Group - Qualification

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Italy	Super Tennis
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport


	Jesper De Jong		Francisco Cerundolo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.82	1.44
	2.92	1.38	Watch
	2.9	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.4)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
32.9%

Francisco Cerundolo
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jesper De Jong's form might have worsened.

Francisco Cerundolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Francisco Cerundolo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Cerundolo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Jesper De Jong - Francisco Cerundolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 79. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 21.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cerundolo could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.25	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.25	Brandon Nakashima - Jesper De Jong	3:2 ✺
22.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWW
- Francisco Cerundolo
Davis Cup World Group
12.09.25	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
28.08.25	Leandro Riedi - Francisco Cerundolo	3:2 ✺
26.08.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Francisco Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Alexander Zverev - Francisco Cerundolo	Cerundolo F. retired ✺
31.07.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Francisco Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLW?W

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