Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Tennis


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	2.75	1.46
	3.05	1.35	Watch
			Watch
	2.74	1.48	Watch
	2.54	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.04)	1.43 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
33.7%

Alexander Zverev
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.8%	0%	74.2%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 7 - 23.3%). Zverev will win (votes: 23 - 76.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 61.6% – 91.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Davidovich Fokina (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Games - Zverev (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alexander Zverev will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Zverev (votes: 11 - 78.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 15. Zverev is ranked ATP: 3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Zverev may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Zverev will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert	Canceled ✺
ATP Basel
26.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Humbert U. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WW?L?
- Alexander Zverev
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
26.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
24.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Alexander Zverev	Zverev A. walkover ✺
23.10.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Beijing
30.09.23	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:1
ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2
ATP Roland Garros
08.06.21	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	3:0
ATP Cologne
17.10.20	Alexander Zverev - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0
ATP US Open
06.09.20	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alexander Zverev	0:3

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