Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.68	2.12	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.55	Watch
	1.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	2.43 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
61%

Arthur Cazaux
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Davidovich Fokina's performance.

Arthur Cazaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Cazaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Davidovich Fokina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Cazaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	0%	23.5%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Cazaux will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 50%). Cazaux (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Cazaux (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 Games - Cazaux (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Davidovich Fokina (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cazaux (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 15. Cazaux is ranked ATP: 62.

Davidovich Fokina has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cazaux is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Davidovich Fokina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Davidovich Fokina will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Davidovich Fokina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 55.79%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Arthur Cazaux - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 44.21%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Valentin Royer	2:1 ✺
28.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Ugo Humbert	Canceled ✺
ATP Basel
26.10.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Humbert U. retired ✺
24.10.25	Casper Ruud - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Ruud C. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 W?L??
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Paris
27.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Atlanta
22.07.24	Arthur Cazaux - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2

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