Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2025, Wednesday


	Arthur Cazaux		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.45	Watch
	1.32	3.61
	1.27	3.77	Watch
	1.26	3.94	Watch
	1.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.45)	3.55 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
72.9%

Shintaro Mochizuki
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arthur Cazaux's performance.

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shintaro Mochizuki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arthur Cazaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shintaro Mochizuki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Cazaux will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cazaux: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Cazaux (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mochizuki (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cazaux is ranked ATP: 70. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 102.

Cazaux has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mochizuki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mochizuki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cazaux might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Cazaux will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cazaux won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Bernard Tomic - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Kyrian Jacquet - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
07.10.25	James McCabe - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
29.09.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0
ATP US Open
25.08.23	Shintaro Mochizuki - Arthur Cazaux	0:2

Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide