Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 October 2025, Monday


	Luciano Darderi		Arthur Cazaux

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
			Watch
	3	1.37	Watch
	2.34	1.56	Watch
			Watch
	3.12	1.39	Watch
	2.9	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.34)	1.42 ↓ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Darderi
33.1%

Arthur Cazaux
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luciano Darderi's form might have worsened.

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Cazaux's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	0%	81.2%

Luciano Darderi - Arthur Cazaux Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Cazaux (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arthur Cazaux will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Cazaux will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Cazaux (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Darderi is ranked ATP: 26. Cazaux is ranked ATP: 61.

Darderi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cazaux is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cazaux may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cazaux will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Cazaux will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Cazaux - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Darderi
ATP Vienna
20.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
16.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
04.10.25	Luciano Darderi - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

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