Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday


	Francis Tiafoe		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.1	1.69	Watch
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.12	1.73	Watch
	2.21	1.75
	2.23	1.64	Watch
	2.1	1.73	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2)	1.71 ↓ (1.8)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francis Tiafoe
44.4%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.7%	0%	61.3%

Francis Tiafoe - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Tiafoe will win (votes: 12 - 40%). Rune will win (votes: 18 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 42.5% – 77.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 14. Rune is ranked ATP: 9.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Rune may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Rune will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tiafoe won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
09.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Aleksandar Vukic	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Francis Tiafoe - Yosuke Watanuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Alexei Popyrin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Alexandre Muller - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cincinnati
18.08.24	Francis Tiafoe - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1

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