Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Alejandro Tabilo		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.49	2.65
	1.53	2.6
	1.52	2.54
	1.44	2.75
	1.55	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)	2.63 ↑ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
63.6%

Valentin Vacherot
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentin Vacherot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valentin Vacherot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	0%	69.6%

Alejandro Tabilo - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Vacherot will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Vacherot (1.81) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Valentin Vacherot will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 36. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 19.

Tabilo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Vacherot has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tabilo could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 42.36%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Kamil Majchrzak	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Stanislas Wawrinka	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2 ✺
15.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Dusan Lajovic	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?LWW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Thomas Faurel - Valentin Vacherot	1:3 ✺
ATP Roma
09.05.26	Marin Cilic - Valentin Vacherot	Canceled ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Emilio Nava - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Terence Atmane	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 W?L?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.05.24	Valentin Vacherot - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2

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