Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Oneplay
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.05	11	Watch
	1.05	9	Watch
	1.07	11.71
	1.08	8.44	Watch
	1.06	9	Watch
	1.05	11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.06 (1.06)	10.03 ↑ (9.85)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
90.4%

Valentin Vacherot
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

90.3%

9.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Vacherot will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3.5 Games - Vacherot (3.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 23.

Alcaraz Garfia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vacherot is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the obvious favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.06 are the expected chance of winning is 90.28%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
09.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Sebastian Korda	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Kamil Majchrzak	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWW?

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