Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Marin Cilic		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.49
	2.59	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.59	1.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.56)	1.5 (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marin Cilic
36.5%

Valentin Vacherot
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marin Cilic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marin Cilic than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-2%)

Marin Cilic - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cilic is ranked ATP: 47. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 16.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cilic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vacherot will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Valentin Vacherot - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 63.05%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marin Cilic
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Marcos Giron - Marin Cilic	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Marin Cilic	Fonseca J. Walkover ✺
22.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
ATP Munich
14.04.26	Marin Cilic - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Marin Cilic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 W?WLL
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Emilio Nava - Valentin Vacherot	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Terence Atmane	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
09.04.26	Valentin Vacherot - Hubert Hurkacz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 L?LWW

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