Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Stockholm, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday


	Ugo Humbert		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.9	1.87	Watch
	1.99	1.9
	1.87	1.89	Watch
			Watch
	1.88	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.96)	1.9 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ugo Humbert
49.8%

Matteo Berrettini
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

53.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ugo Humbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Humbert will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Berrettini will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Humbert: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Humbert (votes: 2 - 40%). Berrettini (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Humbert is ranked ATP: 25. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 61.

In recent matches, Berrettini has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Berrettini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Humbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ugo Humbert
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Jordan Thompson	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
24.09.25	Ugo Humbert - Jenson Brooksby	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Ugo Humbert - Adam Walton	1:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Francis Tiafoe - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Stockholm
14.10.25	Matteo Berrettini - Giulio Zeppieri	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
01.10.25	Adrian Mannarino - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
ATP Tokyo
26.09.25	Casper Ruud - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Jaume Munar - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
18.09.25	Matteo Berrettini - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
29.08.23	Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini	0:3
ATP Cup
03.01.22	Matteo Berrettini - Ugo Humbert	2:0
ATP US Open
03.09.20	Matteo Berrettini - Ugo Humbert	3:0
ATP Challenger
26.10.17	Matteo Berrettini - Ugo Humbert	0:2

Ugo Humbert - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide