Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: UNITED CUP (AUSTRALIA) - PLAY OFFS, HARD

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Sweden	Viaplay


	Alex De Minaur		Alexander Zverev

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.35	1.58
	2.45	1.62
	2.45	1.62
	2.3	1.62
	2.59	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.61)	1.57 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
38.9%

Alexander Zverev
61.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Alexander Zverev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Zverev than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.5%	0%	76.5%

Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). Zverev will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zverev: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 1.

Recent matches De Minaur is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zverev is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Zverev could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zverev will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Zverev to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Last 7 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP United Cup
03.01.24	Alex De Minaur - Novak Djokovic	2:0 ✺
01.01.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
29.12.23	Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
26.11.23	Alex De Minaur - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
24.11.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWLLW
- Alexander Zverev
ATP United Cup
05.01.24	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
01.01.24	Adrian Mannarino - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
30.12.23	Lorenzo Sonego - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.23	Andrey Rublev - Alexander Zverev	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
12.05.22	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Vienna
28.10.21	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev	1:2
ATP Cup
03.01.20	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	1:2
ATP Acapulco
28.02.19	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Shanghai
11.10.18	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev	0:2
ATP Washington
05.08.18	Alexander Zverev - Alex De Minaur	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.18	Alex De Minaur - Alexander Zverev	2:3

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