Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Alex De Minaur		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.25	4.00	Watch
	1.26	3.70
	1.25	4.00	Watch
	1.27	4.33
	1.25	3.92	Watch
	1.25	4.00
	1.28	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.27)	3.98 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
76%

Denis Shapovalov
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 41.

De Minaur is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Shapovalov has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

De Minaur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, De Minaur is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2:0.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Alex De Minaur - the odds 1.27 are the expected chance of winning is 74.65%, but this team recently wins 82% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP London
16.06.26	Alex De Minaur - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
14.06.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Adrian Mannarino - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
12.06.26	Benjamin Bonzi - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Martin Damm - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP London
15.06.26	Jack Pinnington Jones - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
08.06.26	Marin Cilic - Denis Shapovalov	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Jaime Faria - Denis Shapovalov	3:0 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Denis Shapovalov - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Stockholm
21.10.22	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Denis Shapovalov - Alex De Minaur	0:2
ATP Cup
04.01.20	Denis Shapovalov - Alex De Minaur	1:2
Davis Cup World Group
21.11.19	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:1

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