Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: PARIS (FRANCE), HARD (INDOOR) - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday


	Alex De Minaur		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	1.72	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.1
	1.74	2.1
	1.66	2.13
	1.73	2.24
	1.67	2.2	Watch
	1.7	2.21	Watch
	1.72	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	2.16 (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex De Minaur
55.8%

Francis Tiafoe
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.9%	0%	70.1%

Alex De Minaur - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. De Minaur will win (votes: 20 - 29.9%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 47 - 70.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 59.1% – 81.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 3 head-to-head matches De Minaur won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex De Minaur
ATP Paris
02.11.22	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
31.10.22	Sebastian Korda - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
ATP Basel
26.10.22	Alex De Minaur - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
22.10.22	Alex De Minaur - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	1:2 ✺
21.10.22	Alex De Minaur - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WWLLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Paris
02.11.22	Jack Draper - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
31.10.22	Lorenzo Sonego - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
ATP Vienna
25.10.22	Hubert Hurkacz - Francis Tiafoe	2:1 ✺
ATP Stockholm
21.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Emil Ruusuvuori	0:2 ✺
20.10.22	Francis Tiafoe - Elias Ymer	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Next Gen Finals
08.11.19	Alex De Minaur - Francis Tiafoe	3:1
ATP US Open
30.08.18	Alex De Minaur - Francis Tiafoe	3:1
ATP Brisbane
01.01.17	Alex De Minaur - Francis Tiafoe	2:1

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