Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday


	Alex Michelsen		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.62	Watch
	2.37	1.59	Watch
	2.54	1.58
	2.35	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.59)	1.59 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
39.9%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alex Michelsen - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Rune will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Rune (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (9 of 12 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Rune (votes: 10 - 76.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 33. Rune is ranked ATP: 9.

Michelsen is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Rune has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rune may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rune is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 63.17%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
04.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
29.07.25	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWWW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Roman Safiullin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
02.08.25	Alexei Popyrin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:1 ✺
31.07.25	Alexandre Muller - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
29.07.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
22.07.25	Alexandre Muller - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWW?

Upcoming Matches