Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 October 2025, Tuesday


	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
			Watch
	2.55	1.52	Watch
	2.52	1.59
	2.49	1.52	Watch
	2.55	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.41)	1.53 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
37.6%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.4%	0%	18.6%

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard will win (votes: 35 - 81.4%). Rune will win (votes: 8 - 18.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mpetshi Perricard: 69.8% – 93%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Mpetshi Perricard (4.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard will win (19 of 22 users predict this - 86.36%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Mpetshi Perricard (votes: 20 - 87%). Rune (votes: 3 - 13%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mpetshi Perricard is ranked ATP: 37. Rune is ranked ATP: 11.

Recent performances by Mpetshi Perricard have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rune is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mpetshi Perricard may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rune could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Rune will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mpetshi Perricard won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 61.95%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Luca Nardi - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2 ✺
ATP Beijing
26.09.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2 ✺
ATP Chengdu
20.09.25	Alexander Shevchenko - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	2:1 ✺
18.09.25	Filip Misolic - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLLW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Shanghai
05.10.25	Ugo Humbert - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Sebastian Baez - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
28.09.25	Jenson Brooksby - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ethan Quinn - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
25.09.25	Hamad Medjedovic - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2
ATP Basel
26.10.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	0:2

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide