Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday


	Alex Michelsen		Laslo Djere

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.44	Watch
	3.2	1.4
	2.88	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.89	1.42	Watch
	2.8	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.3)	1.43 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
33.4%

Laslo Djere
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alex Michelsen's form might have worsened.

Laslo Djere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laslo Djere's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alex Michelsen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laslo Djere than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Laslo Djere, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.7%	0%	77.3%

Alex Michelsen - Laslo Djere Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Michelsen will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). Djere will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djere: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Laslo Djere will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Michelsen is ranked ATP: 32. Djere is ranked ATP: 64.

Michelsen is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Djere has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Djere may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Djere will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Michelsen won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Laslo Djere - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.92%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
04.05.25	Andrea Pellegrino - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
02.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Giovanni Fonio - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- Laslo Djere
ATP Roma
07.05.25	Laslo Djere - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Daniil Medvedev - Laslo Djere	Medvedev D. walkover ✺
23.04.25	Fabio Fognini - Laslo Djere	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Laslo Djere - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.23	Laslo Djere - Alex Michelsen	2:0

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