Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2


	Miomir Kecmanovic		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.35	Watch
	1.49	2.44	Watch
	1.59	2.46
	1.55	2.43	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.54	2.38	Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)	2.42 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miomir Kecmanovic
61.3%

Alex Michelsen
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miomir Kecmanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Miomir Kecmanovic - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kecmanovic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - Michelsen (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Miomir Kecmanovic will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Kecmanovic (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Michelsen (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 47. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 38.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kecmanovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kecmanovic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kecmanovic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Miomir Kecmanovic - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
01.05.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Denis Yevseyev	2:1 ✺
30.04.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
16.04.25	Luciano Darderi - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Challenger
02.05.25	Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
01.05.25	Giovanni Fonio - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
ATP Houston
04.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Francis Tiafoe	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Alex Michelsen - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
15.02.25	Alex Michelsen - Miomir Kecmanovic	0:2

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