Match Info

Date: 2 April 2024, Tuesday


	Alex Michelsen		Max Purcell

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.38	3	Watch
	1.4	3.18
	1.4	3.18
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.03	Watch
	1.38	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.36)	3.04 ↓ (3.19)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Michelsen
68.7%

Max Purcell
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Max Purcell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Purcell than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Alex Michelsen - Max Purcell Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex Michelsen will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Michelsen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Purcell is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Purcell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Michelsen is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Michelsen
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Tallon Griekspoor - Alex Michelsen	2:1 ✺
20.03.24	Alex Michelsen - Lukas Klein	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.24	Tommy Paul - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Alex Michelsen - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
22.02.24	Alex Michelsen - Jordan Thompson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- Max Purcell
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Max Purcell - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
07.03.24	Gael Monfils - Max Purcell	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
27.02.24	Francis Tiafoe - Max Purcell	2:1 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
21.02.24	Max Purcell - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
19.02.24	Max Purcell - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW

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