Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Stanislas Wawrinka		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
			Watch
	2.36	1.57	Watch
	2.56	1.62
	2.39	1.55	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.42	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.45)	1.59 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 0.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stanislas Wawrinka
39.8%

Alex Michelsen
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stanislas Wawrinka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stanislas Wawrinka than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	0%	61.5%

Stanislas Wawrinka - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Wawrinka will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Michelsen will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Michelsen: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Michelsen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Wawrinka is ranked ATP: 119. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 41.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Wawrinka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Michelsen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stanislas Wawrinka
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Raul Brancaccio - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
18.05.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Stanislas Wawrinka	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
05.05.26	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Stanislas Wawrinka	Carreno-Busta P. Walkover ✺
04.05.26	Stefano Travaglia - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Stanislas Wawrinka - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 W??WL
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Sebastian Baez - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Sebastian Ofner - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Alex Michelsen - Pol Martin Tiffon	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Alex Michelsen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLLW

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