Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11


	Matteo Arnaldi		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	3.75	1.29	Watch
	3.8	1.25	Watch
	4.2	1.3
	3.75	1.27	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.5	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↑ (3.65)	1.29 ↑ (1.27)

The best margin for this event is 0.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
25.5%

Rafael Jodar
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rafael Jodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Matteo Arnaldi - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: Rafael Jodar will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.9% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rafael Jodar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 106. Jodar is ranked ATP: 34.

Arnaldi has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jodar is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Jodar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Jodar is considered a favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
06.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.05.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Gianluca Cadenasso	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Nuno Borges - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.26	Jannik Sinner - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Vit Kopriva - Rafael Jodar	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Joao Fonseca - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWWW

Upcoming Matches