Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Halle, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday


	Stefanos Tsitsipas		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.28	3.6	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.81
			Watch
	1.29	3.6	Watch
	1.26	3.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.31)	3.8 ↑ (3.48)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefanos Tsitsipas
74.8%

Luciano Darderi
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefanos Tsitsipas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Stefanos Tsitsipas - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Users Predictions: Stefanos Tsitsipas will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 26. Darderi is ranked ATP: 48.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Darderi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tsitsipas is seen as the favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Stefanos Tsitsipas - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 72.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.25	Matteo Gigante - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1 ✺
26.05.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:3 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Arthur Fils - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:1 ✺
09.05.25	Alexandre Muller - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.25	Nicolas Jarry - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Sebastian Korda	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
22.05.25	Andrey Rublev - Luciano Darderi	2:1 ✺
21.05.25	Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Diego Dedura-Palomero - Luciano Darderi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW

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